Europe will need to increase LNG purchases by 16% without Russian gas transit through Ukraine

In 2025, Europe will have to increase its purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG) by nearly 16% due to the lack of Russian gas transit through Ukraine, the report of the International Energy Agency (IEA) on the gas market. At the same time, the IEA predicts that gas prices at the TTF hub in Europe in 2025 could be 30% higher than in 2024.

Europe reduced its LNG imports by 18% or 30 bcm in 2024. However, Russia strengthened its position as the second-largest LNG supplier to the region, increasing its exports to Europe by 17% or 3 bcm.

The US reduced its LNG supplies to Europe by 18% or 14 bcm in 2024 but remained the leading supplier of this fuel to the region, with a 47% share, according to the IEA report. Qatar also reduced its shipments to Europe by 30%, redirecting cargoes to more profitable Asian markets.

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