Where does the rise in expectations lead?

Coming to the last turn on the way to the November 10 agreement, Ankara was as interested in the second round of the presidential election in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus as it was on the frontline: Mustafa Akıncı, the third president after the founding president Rauf Denktaş, came to the point of burning the bridges with Ankara by pursuing a policy that was largely contrary to traditional politics, and Ankara was seriously concerned when the third-ranked party in parliament announced that it would support Akıncı in the second round. In the event of the second election of Akıncı, who is ready to cooperate with the Greeks at the highest level, the issue of Turkey's complete exclusion from the island would come up. While President Erdoğan, who was aware of this, was focusing on Karabakh on the one side and Nicosia on the other, the November 10 tripartite caused Turkey to turn its full attention to the island. Financial aid from Ankara on the eve of the second round and an open promissory note given to Ersin Tatar on November 15 led to the victory of the philosophy that satisfied Turkey. On November 16, President Erdoğan sent a draft resolution to send a military contingent abroad (to Azerbaijan) to the Turkish Grand National Assembly with his signature. The next day, when the parliament passed a draft resolution rejected by the Kurdish party, eyes turned again to both Baku and Nicosia. The liberation of a significant part of Azerbaijani lands has significantly raised the "bar" of expectations for the future of Turkish-Azerbaijani relations: to strengthen cooperation in all areas to the extent possible, to bring it into a state of integration in all possible areas. As a new era has begun regarding the destiny of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Ankara has moved this issue to the point of expanding cooperation and, finally, recognition. First of all, the invitation of Ersin Tatar to the victory ceremony, which was held in Baku on December 10 and remembered by Mr. Erdoğan’s famous speech, was on the agenda. When this does not happen, the official invitation of Tatar to Baku was emphasized, and as the formula of "two independent states" on the island was rejected by the West, Ankara began to look to Baku more and more on this issue: The formula "One nation, two states" was replaced by the slogan "One nation, three states", and especially for Turkish nationalists, maximizing Azerbaijan's relations not only with Turkey but also with the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus would be the foundation of a new "Turkish Union". July 20, the 47th anniversary of the peace movement of 1974, came with the expectation. But it was unknown whether Baku's consent was included in the expectation...

In April 2004, the Azerbaijani delegation did not take part in a vote in PACE that was important for the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus only in terms of moral consolation: however, Ankara was also well aware that the bill would not be accepted and requested Azerbaijan to stand by it. When the wave of criticism suddenly covered the press, I called the head of the Turkish delegation to PACE, Murat Mercan, and invited him to "a live broadcast with Samad Seyidov to resolve the dispute." While Mercan, who is currently Turkey's ambassador to Washington, rejected the offer by saying, "I can no longer rub elbows with Samad bey", a direct flight from Baku to Nicosia on June 28 did not just immediately worsen the chilly relations but ignited them: Ertuğrul Özkök, editor-in-chief of the Hürriyet newspaper, who accused Azerbaijan of "infidelity" in April, this time apologized to President Aliyev. The wind created by the "direct plane" blew for a long time. On January 22, 2006, when the founding president of the TRNC (then a "former president"), Rauf Denktaş, was asked to comment on the situation after the "plane move", “The European Union pressurized Aliyev hard, we know that and we are grateful. There are many ways to deepen the relationship,” he replied...

If “repetition is the mother of knowledge”, it is desirable that the processes that began on September 27 with unconditional cooperation with Turkey and ended on November 10 with a tripartite agreement will open irreversible pages not only in Turkish-Azerbaijani relations but also in Azerbaijani-TRNC relations. If we believe the allegations, should we say that there are still great expectations behind the scenes that President Erdoğan gave the same "good news" for the July 20 ceremony in the TRNC, which he began to signal 10-15 days before his June 15 visit to Shusha? When those expectations were dashed, was Mr. Erdoğan forced to fill the "good news" with words such as "We will build a presidential palace for the TRNC" that provoked a negative public reaction? Or was the statement of the President of Turkey, who was very interested in the construction of the palace and residence, such as "We will build a presidential palace in Nicosia" the "good news" itself?

I will ask Allahshukur Pashazade...

Mayis Alizade