Under its base rating case, Fitch expects SOCAR's oil production to decline and its gas production to increase moderately in 2013-2015. The oil production decline follows the depletion of existing brownfields in Azerbaijan, SOCAR's only upstream region.
At the same time, the agency forecasts that the main production gains will be achieved in natural gas from Azerbaijan's production-sharing agreements (PSAs), in particular the Stage 2 of Shah Deniz gas PSA, in which SOCAR has a 10% stake and which expects to increase its production by 16 bcm of gas and 4m tons of gas condensate from 2017.-0--
Economics
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SOCAR President Rovshan Najaf met with the Minister of State for Petroleum of Pakistan, Musadik Malik, on January 18. According to SOCAR, the discussions covered joint energy projects, achieved outcomes, and cooperation opportunities in various areas, including the trade of petroleum products.
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The State Statistics Committee of Azerbaijan reported that in 2024 investments in fixed assets reached 21,435.1 million manats, which is 0.7% less than in 2023. While overall figures edged lower, the sectoral breakdown reveals notable disparities between the oil and gas sphere and non-oil industries.
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Azerbaijan’s industrial enterprises and individual entrepreneurs reported a modest 1.1% year-on-year increase in industrial production during 2024, reaching an output valued at 64.1 billion manat. The State Statistics Committee attributed the overall growth to a 0.5% expansion in the oil and gas sector, while non-oil and gas industries surged by 7.3%.
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Global diesel prices and refining margins have spiked following the latest U.S. sanctions targeting Russian oil trade, as markets brace for reduced supply, analysts and LSEG data indicate.
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