Tension on Armenian-Azerbaijani border is provoked from Yerevan

Baku/27.05.21/Turan: At about 3 am a reconnaissance and sabotage group of the armed forces of Armenia attempted to break into the territory of Azerbaijan in the direction of the village of Upper Ayrm of the Kelbajar region, the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan reported today. As a result of operational measures, six Armenian soldiers, who tried to mine the supply road of the Azerbaijani army to the border positions, were surrounded, neutralized and detained.

This morning, a concentration of several units of enemy military equipment, including tanks, was observed near the border, but their movement was prevented.

Is it possible to state that the tension on the Azerbaijani-Armenian border continues to grow? The head of the Atlas Research Center Elkhan Shainoglu tried to answer this question in the “Difficult Question” program.

Some forces in Armenia are behind the events on the border, interested in postponing the elections in order to prevent a repeated victory for Pashinyan, who has real chances for it, Shainoglu said. “But we don't care who comes to power in Armenia. We must be engaged in strengthening the state and solving our internal tasks,” he said. In his opinion, if Armenia refuses to escalate tensions, then a number of prisoners can be released.

He believes that Erdogan's visit to Karabakh, scheduled for mid-June, is a warning that an anti-terrorist operation can be carried out if the provocations continue. “We have a strategic initiative, we are building roads and airports, restoring the border. This confuses certain circles in Armenia, and sending sabotage groups to our territory is a provocation. The Armenian information machine will use their arrest to whip up tensions. In general, in recent months they have been systematically exploiting the topic of prisoners of war,” the expert said.

Shainoglu believes that attempts by Armenian circles to appeal to the United States and France will not be crowned with success, since these countries do not have tools to influence the situation. The appeal to Russia also remains unsuccessful, since it is not interested in the tension that will prevent it from implementing its plan to open communications. He said that Azerbaijan has two strategies - strengthening its presence in Karabakh and taking control of the borders.

However, there are questions to Russia, illegal military formations of Armenians in Karabakh have not yet been disarmed, there are other problems, Shainoglu said. At the same time, he believes that it is necessary to strengthen the alliance with Turkey.

When asked if these events could lead to war, Shainoglu said that Pashinyan is not interested in war, but there are forces that may be interested - they will be torn with victory or defeat, the main thing is not to miss Pashinyan.

The expert also noted that if this happens, it would be a war between Armenia and Azerbaijan. If Armenia counts on the CSTO, then this is a mistake. Belarus, Kazakhstan and others will not send soldiers to fight for Armenia.

Finally, Shainoglu noted, the completion of the process of determining the borders should be accelerated, as this will bring real peace to the region. –0--