Today, the U.S. is holding its presidential election. The contenders for the presidency include current Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. On July 21, the Democratic Party's candidate for the 2024 election, current President Joe Biden, announced his withdrawal from the race, endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris. Donald Trump, on the other hand, represents the Republicans in this election.
Which candidate’s victory would better serve Azerbaijan’s interests? Political commentator Nasimi Mammadli addresses this question and others on the show "Difficult Question."
According to Mammadli, despite existing connections between Donald Trump and the Azerbaijani elite, his victory would not align with Azerbaijan's national interests. If Trump comes to power, he is likely to lift all restrictions related to the oil sector. This would lead to a drop in global oil prices, which is not in Azerbaijan’s favor, as its economy is largely based on energy extraction. Given the decline in Azerbaijan's oil production volumes, the country’s economy might not withstand such pressure.
Furthermore, Trump’s campaign commitment to strengthening the U.S. dollar could also have negative implications for Azerbaijan’s economy.
In the event of Kamala Harris's victory, not much would change for Azerbaijan. Democratic appeals regarding human rights would not significantly impact Azerbaijan, as these are primarily rhetorical.
In the expert’s view, Trump’s chances of winning appear stronger. His support base includes the conservative segment of society, "rednecks" (rural white farmers) and industrialists, particularly from the oil sector. Unlike Harris, Trump skillfully addresses issues sensitive to these groups, such as concerns about immigrants and local waste management, among others.
Difficult question
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On International Human Rights Day, Samed Rahimli, the head of the Human Rights Legal Center and a lawyer, spoke on the program "Difficult Question" about recent arrests in Azerbaijan, ongoing human rights issues in the country, and the attitudes of international organizations and the West towards these developments.
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The arrest of human rights defender Rufat Safarov, employees of Meydan TV, and the head of the Institute of Political Management, Azer Gasimly, along with processes related to the human rights situation in the country after COP29, as well as the attitude of international organizations and the West towards the events, are commented on by political analyst Rauf Mirgadirov in the program "Difficult Question."
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The arrest of human rights defender Rufat Safarov, the state of human rights in the country after COP29, the attitude of international organizations and the West toward these developments, as well as the authorities' reaction, were discussed on the program "Complex Questions" by Azar Gasimli, head of the Institute of Political Management.
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At an event held to mark International Human Rights Day, the embassies of the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Switzerland described the human rights situation in Azerbaijan as "appalling."
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