In the best, quarantine in Azerbaijan will be lifted in early May

Baku/13.04.20/Turan: Czech Republic, Austria, Denmark and Norway weakened isolation regimes introduced by the authorities in order to prevent the spread of coronavirus, CNN reports. Residents of the Czech Republic can already buy goods, play tennis and swim. Austria plans to open small shops after Easter. Kindergartens and schools will open in Denmark next week; in Norway, children will go to kindergartens a week later. Britain intends to allow jogging to improve health.

At the end of last week, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan spoke about the imminent easing of quarantine conditions in the Armenian parliament, while focusing on the inevitability of prolonging the state of emergency in Armenia.

“On Monday or Tuesday, the Cabinet of Ministers will make a decision, after which a special meeting of the parliament will be held at which the issue of emergency will be discussed. Our conclusion is that the emergency regime must be extended to prevent further spread of infection. We now have a relatively small number of infected, but it does not mean that our situation has improved. No, our situation has stabilized in the epidemiological plan, but has not improved. We can have a new outbreak of the disease at any time, which creates Art for us even more difficulties." Pashinyan also announced the permission from Monday of the activity of a number of areas and enterprises.

On Sunday, for the first time in Azerbaijan, the number of people who recovered from coronavirus over the past day (40 people) became less than the number of new infected people (50). In the previous day, the curve of the number of infected people fell from 104-105 to 65 and 67 people. The successful tendency to weaken the epidemic in Azerbaijan and the growing dissatisfaction of the population with restrictive quarantine measures of the government, up to the massive discontent on April 10 in the village of Afshar in the Agjabadi district (15 participants were arrested), may cause discussion of the date of quarantine removal in the government.

When and how to do it right?

In China, by March 21, for three consecutive days, not a single case of COVID-19 infection was recorded domestically. New cases came from abroad. On March 26, the country announced the closure of its borders to foreigners. Since March 28, the subway has partially resumed work in Wuhan, other transport and most enterprises have begun to work. On April 8, the ban on the communication of Wuhan with other settlements was completely lifted.

In Britain, they managed to reduce the rate of infection by more than 70%. In an article published in the BBC quoted Adam Kucharski from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine: "in fact, we have some not very good options. It will not be that everything changes in one day, but something starts to open," told the BBC doctor. In Britain, it is estimated that only about 4% of the population became infected (and possibly developed immunity). More than 63 million people are still vulnerable. If quarantine is simply lifted, a new wave of infections will inevitably begin. The dynamics of the spread of the virus will not change - one infected without quarantine will infect another three or four people on average, "Kucharski said.

Azerbaijani experts in an interview with Turan do not advise rushing to quarantine so as not to infect healthy people with a virus that possibly lives in the body of unidentified carriers in the country. Mehriban Aliyeva, a doctor at the Institute for the Advancement of Doctors, says the rules for getting out of the pandemic, according to which it is necessary to wait a 28-day period of zero daily infection. Therapist Naida Agasieva advises to withstand at least 10 days after a stable successful rate.

If in the next week the daily infection rate in our country stably drops to zero, then in the best case, a complete removal of quarantine should be expected in early May. –0—