Abdel Fattah al-Sisi (left) and Recep Tayyip Erdogan. 20.11.2022
The meeting between the Turkish head of state and General Abdulfattah Sisi in Cairo on February 14 does not signify a shift in Mr. Erdogan's stance regarding the Muslim Brotherhood worldview. This diplomatic engagement is necessitated by evolving geopolitical dynamics in the region and globally. Turkey's pragmatic response to realpolitik demands underscores the adaptability required in navigating changing balances of power.
The recent escalation in the conflict between Jews and Arabs, notably triggered by Hamas' attack on Israel, has prompted international efforts towards a ceasefire and long-term peace initiatives. Amidst these efforts, Ankara's alignment with Qatar, considered a close ally, reflects its strategic calculus within the region.
However, Ankara's insistence on its proposed role in providence and its perceived indifference towards the plight of Palestinians affected by Israeli military operations risk undermining the Muslim Brotherhood's stature and Turkey's regional influence.
Despite uncertainties about Erdogan's overtures to Egypt, pressure from Western powers, particularly the UK, for the creation of an independent Palestinian state, underscores the urgency for Turkish engagement. While reconciling with Egypt may seem at odds with Erdogan's past rhetoric, it aligns with both Turkey's political philosophy and its international standing.
The dynamics of international relations necessitate pragmatic engagements, exemplified by Erdogan's meeting with Sisi despite years of animosity. The potential normalization of relations between Turkey and Egypt is underscored by Erdogan's acknowledgment of unhindered F-16 trade with Washington.
In the broader context, Turkey's estrangement from Cairo amid Russian overtures to Haftar in Libya and the evolving dynamics between Jerusalem and Riyadh following the Israel-Hamas conflict highlights the imperative for diplomatic recalibration.
The forthcoming public opinion polls will gauge the domestic reception of Erdogan's reconciliation with Sisi. However, the fragmented political landscape, reminiscent of the 1994 municipal elections, underscores the complexity of Turkey's domestic politics.
As the political landscape evolves, the coming days will reveal the twists and turns of fate amidst Turkey's recalibrated diplomatic maneuvers and internal political dynamics.
Great East
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The visit of the Head of the National Intelligence Organization to the headquarters of the Republican People's Party (CHP) to brief the leader of the main opposition party is a step that serves to strengthen the tradition of state governance in Turkey. This action reinforces a trend that emerged after the democratic transition of power on May 14, 1950, which has since become irreversible.
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The "Astana Process," initiated in January 2017 by Russia's Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to address the Syrian conflict, has held 21 summit meetings to date. The process, involving Turkey, Iran, and Russia, saw a significant change during its latest session held on November 11-12 in Astana, where representatives from the Damascus regime and the opposition were also invited. Ankara played a role in this unexpected move, as it has been attempting to normalize relations with the Damascus regime for nearly a year. Despite previous unsuccessful efforts, hopes have now turned to the "Astana Process."
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As Donald Trump solidifies his comeback bid, having become only the second individual in U.S. history to mount a successful return after defeat, a notable shift ripples across Turkey’s political landscape.
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In a dramatic political shift, Turkey has elevated the “Kurdish issue” to a top national priority, signaling renewed focus on unity and security amid escalating foreign pressures. Following Turkey’s recent pivot away from BRICS at a Shanghai summit, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his nationalist ally, Devlet Bahçeli, are calling for solidarity in the face of deepening regional tensions — with Bahçeli even inviting the imprisoned leader of a Kurdish militant group to address Parliament in an unexpected appeal for peace.
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