Positions expose very quickly

When dividing the reaction to the operation "Source of Peace" into "expected" and "unexpected" categories, Egypt"s position can be attributed to the first, and the position of Saudi Arabia to the second group. Although both of them spoke out against the military operation of Turkey, President Erdogan, in the framework of one total speech, answered both of them in turn:

"Let Saudi Arabia better look at itself in the mirror, and remember its actions in Yemen. Let answer for them! Egypt should better shut up. Let Egypt remember how they overthrew Mursi, who won the election with 52% of the vote? You are the executioner of democracy!

On the issue of Syrian refugees, Mr. Erdogan is still irreconcilable with the European Union. To some countries that called the Turkish military operation on the other side of the border "intervention," President Erdogan again responded with a "bogey refugee." However, unlike the previous answers, the current one was frank and concrete: "Europe, if you call our army invasive, make it easier for us. We will open border points and 3.6 million refugees will rush to you. "

The veiled positions are known, and it is very likely that even 5% does not correspond to what is in sight. The fact that Israel, which from the beginning of the international coalition war with Syria has occasionally interfered in the processes within the framework of the Iranian and Lebanese Hezbollah, after starting the operation "Source of Peace", accusing Turkey, openly supported the Kurds in the region, was a surprise to the public. When Prime Minister Netanyahu, who opposed the Turkish military operation for the first time, was too open for the diplomacy of Tel Aviv and the processes in the region for the first time to say that "Israel is ready to render the brave Kurdish people", Ankara"s traditional response, of course, was not long in coming.

However, the most remarkable thing in the ongoing events of the process is the frequently changing statements by US President Donald Trump. Trump first announced that US troops would leave Syria and that the responsibility associated with the ISIS terrorist organization would fall on Turkey, and therefore the United States agreed to conduct a military operation. However, about an hour later, Trump says that if Ankara goes beyond the rules, it will destroy the Turkish economy and may apply severe sanctions to it.

It is interesting to note that neither the government nor the media created by him took a tough stance against Donald Trump. We do not see congressional representatives and senators as sharp answers to the US president as the words addressed to them by Trump. The reason for this is President Erdogan.

Mr. Erdogan is well aware that on the eve of the election, the US president also depends on the "domestic market" and knows that his jargon is suitable for attracting certain layers of voters (after all, Mr. Erdogan himself adheres to the same tactics in Turkey) .

On the other hand, before the meeting between Trump and Erdogan scheduled for November 13, the Turkish president most of all does not want to spoil relations with the current owner of the White House. Erdogan also knows that even if Congress and the Senate approve the draft sanctions, Trump has the right to veto these laws. Since it is impossible to prevent Congress and the US Senate from adopting the law, the surest decision is to maintain a cordial relationship with President Trump, who is vested with veto power. Therefore, volley fire of official Ankara and its media is still being conducted bypassing President Trump.

We returned to the most critical country connected with Syria: the second after the long-playing head of the Russian diplomatic department after Andrei Gromyko, Sergei Lavrov, noted that Moscow is still one-step ahead in all these processes and added that the Kremlin "will seek to establish a dialogue between Syrian and Turkish governments."

This was the most accurate and clear indication of the position of Russia after the start of Operation Source of Peace. Therefore, the current position of Moscow, which so far has only been opaque and cautious hints regarding this proposal, can be considered a surprise in terms of its specific targeting.

However, such a concretization of Sergey Lavrov"s proposal for a "dialogue" between Damascus and Ankara raised a completely natural question: "Could Moscow agree to conduct the latest military operation with the condition of establishing a "dialogue with Damascus" ? If it is so, soon the picture will begin to radically change the tone ...