The situation in Armenia continues to worsen

Last night in Yerevan there were new clashes between protesters and police. As a result, more than 150 people were detained, more than 70 were freemen with injuries, of which about 30 - the police.

A distinctive feature of the protests, lasting for almost two weeks, is the massive support of the population group of 30 armed men who seized on July 17 the regiment of guard Police Service in Yerevan. These requirements of the resignation of President Sargsyan joined  thousands of people who regularly make street marches, conflicting with the police. Protests support the opposition, which calls on the authorities to hear the protests, and the protesters actually accept the demands on the resignation of Sargsyan.

The authorities  are afraid to go to aggravation, hoping to negotiate with the armed group, but in fact the opposite things happen. The  impact of the street on the overall situation in the country is growing,  anti-government protests are taking place outside Yerevan too.

In addition, the contradiction between the Karabakh and Yerevan Armenian clan have intensified, as well as between oligarchic groups acting on the side of Sarkisian and their opponents in the military and security agencies. It is noteworthy that the  protests are headed  by  terrorists, including a former member of ASALA Alec Enigomshyan.

This former colleague Monte Melkonyan,  is a member of the terrorist attack in France, during which a grenade tore off his arm and he lost his sight. Convicted of terrorism,  he  was subsequently moved and heroes of Armenians in Yerevan, and until yesterday acted as a representative of the terrorist group that seized a police regiment. Armenian society for the first time in many years is so badly split.

Under such situation it is quite possible option of further aggravation with elements of civil war and regime change. In the case of violent suppression of the protests, the Armenian society will remain divided, and the responsibility of all the problems will be borne by the Sargsyan regime.

The strongest challenge and catalyst destabilization will be phased variant of the  Karabakh conflict settlement, which  Armenia does not want. However, the further the Armenians are trying to delay the adoption of this decision, the heavier will be the conditions for them. -02В-

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