Baku / 25.04.18 / Turan: Relative calm that arose in Armenia after the resignation of Serzh Sargsyan from the post of Prime Minister is being replaced by a new wave of tension. The reason is the refusal of the leader of the demonstrators Nikol Pashinyan to compromise with the ruling Republican Party and his demand for "complete transfer of power to the people". It was this demand that caused the breakdown of Pashinyan's talks with the acting Prime Minister Karapetyan and the resumption of massive rallies.
Judging by the reaction of the authorities, they are not going to give up either. On the morning of April 25, armored vehicles, police special force squads and internal troops were brought to the streets of Yerevan. They are trying to prevent the blocking of state institutions by the demonstrators.
However, the resolute protesters say they can be stopped only by force, which means bloodshed and destabilization of the whole situation.
Can the authorities do this, after Serzh Sargsyan's resignation, and who will take this responsibility? This is the main question, and it is not excluded.
The troops can take up the responsibility and introduce martial law or a state of emergency in the country and dissolve political parties. To this they can be prompted by calls of the protesters to arrest the entire leadership of the Republican Party, the power ministers and the head of the National Bank and prevent the withdrawal of money from the country.
In particular, one of the activists of the protest movement appealed with these demands to Pashinyan, arguing that otherwise, Armenia would face a catastrophe.
Whatever the situation, Armenia will seriously weaken politically, economically and militarily. The stratification in the Armenian society will intensify and persecutions can start against people of the Karabakh origin, who will be expelled from the country, seized their property, businesses, etc.
To expect the opposite, i.e. a peaceful and tranquil transfer of power in Armenia, is unlikely, given the degree of discontent among the population and the level of corruption.
There is also such a possible factor as the marginalization of the protest movement, when protests can be ruled by pauperized marginal crowds. These forces can only destroy and destabilize the situation.
The development of the situation will become clear in the coming days. In any case, this is a good signal for Azerbaijan, because the main enemy will be weakened with all the ensuing consequences. -02B-
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