According to political scientist, expert on Central Asia Arkady Dubnov, the outcome of the presidential elections in Turkey, especially if Kemal Kilicdaroglu were to win in the second round, could potentially lead to a significant geopolitical shift in the region. However, he notes that most regional leaders are likely unprepared for such a change, and it would take time for them to adapt to a new government in Turkey.
Dubnov acknowledges that Kilicdaroglu's victory in the second round is not guaranteed, considering the significant parliamentary majority held by Erdogan's Justice and Development Party. Nevertheless, he suggests that Kilicdaroglu could potentially attract some of the voters who supported the third candidate, Sinan Ogan, who unexpectedly received more than 5% of the votes in the first round.
If Kilicdaroglu were to come to power, Dubnov believes that the internal direction of Turkey could undergo changes. Erdogan's emphasis on traditional and religious values could give way to a greater focus on secularism and Western liberal values, with a commitment to the legacy of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.
Regarding Turkey's relationship with Azerbaijan, the expert does not anticipate a fundamental revision under a new government. He points out that the existing ties between Turkey and Azerbaijan are based on Turkic identity, historical and confessional kinship, as well as significant economic interests. However, he suggests that the tone of Ankara's approach to Azerbaijan's policies in the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict might change, potentially becoming less supportive of what he describes as Baku's "rather brutal policy" in the conflict.
Difficult question
-
Will Russia admit to shooting down AZAL plane? - a talk with Arkady Dubnov
-
AZAL has released information stating that the Embraer 190 aircraft, operating flight J2-8243 from Baku to Grozny, crashed as a result of physical and technical external interference. It has been reported that, considering the preliminary investigation results and potential risks to flight safety, the State Agency of Civil Aviation of Azerbaijan has decided to suspend flights from Baku to 10 cities in Russia.
-
Sources within the Azerbaijani government confirmed exclusively to Euronews on Thursday that the crash of an AZAL plane in Aktau on Wednesday was caused by a Russian surface-to-air missile. According to the sources, the missile was launched at the aircraft, operating flight 8432, during a drone attack on Grozny. The missile exploded near the plane, injuring two passengers and a flight attendant with its shrapnel.
-
This morning, an AZAL passenger plane, operating the Baku-Grozny flight, crashed. According to AZAL, there were 62 passengers and 5 crew members aboard the crashed passenger plane, a total of 67 people. The passengers on board included 16 citizens of Russia, 37 citizens of Azerbaijan, 6 citizens of Kazakhstan, and 3 citizens of Kyrgyzstan.
Leave a review