Debt Balance of Azerbaijan Not as Stable as Government Says

Azerbaijan's debt balance is not as stable as the government says.

According to the expectations of the International Monetary Fund in the last regional review, GDP in Azerbaijan by the end of the year is expected to reach $ 35.7 billion (57.8 billion manat at the current exchange rate). In this case the total public debt (on external and domestic liabilities) will be at the level of 39.6% of GDP, or $ 14 billion 137 million. It is three and a half times the foreign currency reserves (by Oct. 1, according to the Central Bank, they were $ 4 billion 132.7 million).

Recall, the government of Azerbaijan has always voiced level of the total debt in 12-13% and reported additional lending opportunities in the country by international financial institutions.

By October 1, the GDP amounted to 43 billion 436.3 million manat (minus 3.9% versus the same period last year). The SSC explains this with a decline in output in the construction sector. However, this is not the case - for example, in the record year 2014 due to oil exports, the figure was $ 75 billion 188 million. "Thanks" to the double devaluation of the manat, it sank more than twofold. --17D-

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