Trump and US National Security Strategy

The world is in search of an answer to the question, what will be America under the leadership of Donald Trump, who is considered as the eccentric billionaire, and now the politician number one - the president of the sole superpower.

Many people think that Trump will be the same dissolute president, as he suggested himself, as a shark in big business when showed his exaggerated ego. But this is only the outer shell of a motivated and not ordinary person. He has announced his new president's credo as a responsible and hard politician.

It should be noted that Trump's victory was not accidental in a period of new challenges for the USA and his leadership charisma is to the point in the new era of global US strategy - the sole leadership. Trump is the actual embodiment of the American National Security Strategy and his behavior, his outlook reflects almost maternal idea of this program document of the great power. The analysis of the American National Security Strategy helps to imagine what will be Trump during his presidency, and what will be America and the world over the next four years of the presidential term.

The Strategy adopted in February 2015, with a delay of two years, will be the basis of his actions and decisions, like all institutions of the United States. This document clearly emphasizes overt US leadership in the world, and its goals and objectives as the powers responsible for the stability and development of the world system, and thus differs from the year 2010 strategy, which was based on the US leadership in the framework of partnerships.

Probably the strategy-2015 has been adapted to the new challenges that have emerged in recent years, the successful reign of the Obama administration, which brought America to a more advanced position on the condition of political and economic crisis and recession that covered most of the world. The current administration managed to take the country out of recession, reducing the federal budget deficit to 1 trillion USD up to 500 billion dollars, creating 11 million jobs and reduce unemployment from 11% to 5.7% . The USA strengthened its leadership in the world and strengthened its security, consolidated the position in the Eurasian space, to which is almost dedicated the new guiding document.

The newly Strategy, which will be guided by Trump, "leadership" is characterized by such phrases as "to exercise leadership from positions of strength", "personal example", "a reliable partner", "using all the tools of US power," "based on the long-term planning.

Here are fragments from the Strategy:

We will find strategic opportunities to change the economic order and the cultivation of new relations with developing economic forces and countries, supporting peaceful democratic changes. We will use their potential in order to put an end to extreme poverty and rely on our advantages in innovation, science and technology, entrepreneurship and energy security.

We will lead by example. The strength of our institutions and respect for the rule of law shows an example of democratic governance. When we maintain our values in our homeland, we can better distribute them abroad. This includes protection of civil rights and freedoms of our citizens with transparency and accountability. It also means adherence to international norms and standards if we want the other nations to follow them, and the responsibility, if not follow.

At the same time we and our partners need to reform and invest for a more effective co-operation with each other on the background of the growing number of States, on which you can rely. When fewer people live in poverty, when trading partners thrive, and society is free, the United States become safer and stronger.

In the strategy the threat is called the power struggle both between and within many countries in the Middle East and North Africa. This nascent struggle after the war in Iraq in 2003 and the Arab Spring of 2011, will determine the relationship, both within the region and between the communities, citizens and states. This process will continue to grow, especially in societies where religious extremists occur, or where rulers reject democratic reforms, destroying their economy and civil society.

Now we have to influence their trajectory with the help of American leadership practices. This strategy identifies priorities on the basis of the real risk assessments for our immutable national interests and the possibility of promotion. This strategy is not focused on a single country or region in the field of foreign policy. It establishes a versatile and balanced set of priorities that is acceptable to the world's leading powers with interests in every part of the unprecedented interconnected world.

We will take the fight to the terms of the measures which give rise to extremism - such as poverty, inequality and repression.

We prefer cooperation with the weakest countries, which seek to establish a politically legitimate governance to the people. The main attention will be paid to the impact and the necessary conditions in certain areas, for example, an inclusive policy to ensure equal and fair access to services, security sector reform and the rule of law, fight against corruption and organized crime, as well as assistance in providing opportunities, especially for youth and women.

The Strategy's prosperity in the same section, is seen as follows:

The market and educational opportunities to help the United States the next generation of global entrepreneurs to support the growth momentum of the global middle class. In order to prevent conflict and promote human dignity, we will also pursue a policy of eradicating extreme poverty and reducing inequality.

And through our development initiatives - such as "Strong Africa", "Trade Africa", "Food and the Future", "Open Government Partnership" - we will continue to work closely with governments, the private sector and civil society to promote inclusive economic growth, corruption reduction , creating opportunities at the local level. Investing in key infrastructure and security facilities will contribute to the development of trade between the two countries, especially emerging economies.

Prosperity unit in the Strategy is seen as follows:

Our economy is the largest, most open, and innovative in the world. Our leadership has also helped usher in a new era of unparalleled global prosperity. Sustaining our leadership depends on shaping an emerging global economic order that continues to reflect our interests and values. Despite its success, our rules-based system is now competing against alternative, less-open models. Moreover, the American consumer cannot sustain global demand-growth must be more balanced. To meet this challenge, we must be strategic in the use of our economic strength to set new rules of the road, strengthen our partnerships, and promote inclusive development. Through our trade and investment policies, we will shape globalization so that it is working for American workers. By leveraging our improved economic and energy position, we will strengthen the global financial system and advance high-standard trade deals. We will ensure tomorrow"s global trading system is consistent with our interests and values by seeking to establish and enforce rules through international institutions and regional initiatives and by addressing emerging challenges like state-owned enterprises and digital protectionism. U.S. markets and educational opportunities will help the next generation of global entrepreneurs sustain momentum in growing a global middle class. To prevent conflict and promote human dignity, we will also pursue policies that eradicate extreme poverty and reduce inequality.

Special focus is Values:

To lead effectively in a world experiencing significant political change, the United States must live our values at home while promoting universal values abroad. From the Middle East to Ukraine to Southeast Asia to the Americas, citizens are more empowered in seeking greater freedoms and accountable institutions. But these demands have often produced an equal and opposite reaction from backers of discredited authoritarian orders, resulting in crackdowns and conflict. Many of the threats to our security in recent years arose from efforts by authoritarian states to oppose democratic forces-from the crisis caused by Russian aggression in Ukraine to the rise of ISIL within the Syrian civil war. By the same token, many of our greatest opportunities stem from advances for liberty and rule of law-from sub-Saharan Africa to Eastern Europe to Burma.

Defending democracy and human rights is related to every enduring national interest. It aligns us with the aspirations of ordinary people throughout the world. We know from our own history people must lead their own struggles for freedom if those struggles are to succeed. But America is also uniquely situated-and routinely expected-to support peaceful democratic change. We will continue mobilizing international support to strengthen and expand global norms of human rights. We will support women, youth, civil society, journalists, and entrepreneurs as drivers of change. We will continue to insist that governments uphold their human rights obligations, speak out against repression wherever it occurs, and work to prevent, and, if necessary, respond to mass atrocities. Our closest allies in these efforts will be, as they always have, other democratic states. But, even where our strategic interests require us to engage governments that do not share all our values, we will continue to speak out clearly for human rights and human dignity in our public and private diplomacy. Any support we might provide will be balanced with an awareness of the costs of repressive policies for our own security interests and the democratic values by which we live. Because our human rights advocacy will be most effective when we work in concert with a wide range of partners, we are building coalitions with civil society, religious leaders, businesses, other governments, and international organizations. We will also work to ensure people enjoy the same rights-and security-online as they are entitled to enjoy offline by opposing efforts to restrict information and punish speech.

The Strategy pays a special attention to the developing democracies, as the main elements of the international system of stability and security:

The United States will concentrate attention and resources to help countries consolidate their gains and move toward more democratic and representative systems of governance. Our focus is on supporting countries that are moving in the right direction-whether it is the peaceful transitions of power we see in sub-Saharan Africa; the movement toward constitutional democracy in Tunisia; or the opening taking place in Burma. In each instance, we are creating incentives for positive reform and disincentives for backsliding. The road from demanding rights in the square to building institutions that guarantee them is long and hard. In the last quarter century, parts of Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa, and East Asia have consolidated transitions to democracy, but not without setbacks. The popular uprisings that began in the Arab world took place in a region with weaker democratic traditions, powerful authoritarian elites, sectarian tensions, and active violent extremist elements, so it is not surprising setbacks have thus far outnumbered triumphs. Yet, change is inevitable in the Middle East and North Africa, as it is in all places where the illusion of stability is artificially maintained by silencing dissent.

But the direction of that change is not predetermined. We will therefore continue to look for ways to support the success and ease the difficulties of democratic transitions through responsible assistance, investment and trade, and by supporting political, economic, and security reforms. We will continue to push for reforms in authoritarian countries not currently undergoing wholesale transitions. Good governance is also predicated on strengthening the state-society relationship. When citizens have a voice in the decision making that affects them, governments make better decisions and citizens are better able to participate, innovate, and contribute. The corrosive effects of corruption must be overcome. While information sharing allows us to identify corrupt officials more easily, globalization has also made it easier for corrupt officials to hide the proceeds of corruption abroad, increasing the need for strong and consistent implementation of the international standards on combating illicit finance. The United States is leading the way in promoting adherence to standards of accountable and transparent governance, including through initiatives like the Open Government Partnership. We will utilize a broad range of tools to recover assets stolen by corrupt officials and make it harder for criminals to hide, launder, and benefit from illegal proceeds. Our leadership toward governance that is more open, responsible, and accountable makes clear that democracy can deliver better government and development for ordinary people.

On assisting civil society

Empower Civil Society and Young Leaders Democracy depends on more than elections, or even government institutions. Through civil society, citizens come together to hold their leaders accountable and address challenges. Civil society organizations often drive innovations and develop new ideas and approaches to solve social, economic, and political problems that governments can apply on a larger scale. Moreover, by giving people peaceful avenues to advance their interests and express their convictions, a free and flourishing civil society contributes to stability and helps to counter violent extremism. Still, civil society and individual activists face challenges in many parts of the world. As technology empowers individuals and nongovernmental groups to mobilize around a wide array of issues-from countering corruption and advancing the rule of law to environmental activism-political elites in authoritarian states, and even in some with more democratic traditions, are acting to restrict space for civil society. Restrictions are often seen through new laws and regulations that deny groups the foreign funding they depend on to operate, that criminalize groups of people like the LGBT community, or deny political opposition groups the freedom to assemble in peaceful protest. The United States is countering this trend by providing direct support for civil society and by advocating rollback of laws and regulations that undermine citizens" rights. We are also supporting technologies that expand access to information, enable freedom of expression, and connect civil society groups in this fight around the world.

Prevent Mass Atrocities

The mass killing of civilians is an affront to our common humanity and a threat to our common security. It destabilizes countries and regions, pushes refugees across borders, and creates grievances that extremists exploit. We have a strong interest in leading an international response to genocide and mass atrocities when they arise, recognizing options are more extensive and less costly when we act preventively before situations reach crisis proportions. We know the risk of mass atrocities escalates when citizens are denied basic rights and freedoms, are unable to hold accountable the institutions of government, or face unrelenting poverty and conflict. We affirm our support for the international consensus that governments have the responsibility to protect civilians from mass atrocities and that this responsibility passes to the broader international community when those governments manifestly fail to protect their populations. We will work with the international community to prevent and call to account those responsible for the worst human rights abuses, including through support to the International Criminal Court, consistent with U.S. law and our commitment to protecting our personnel. Moreover, we will continue to mobilize allies and partners to strengthen our collective efforts to prevent and respond to mass atrocities using all our instruments of national power.

Position of Azerbaijan in the Strategy

It is not difficult to guess the place Azerbaijan takes in the Strategy: championship positions in the field of violation human rights, freedoms, civil society repression, corruption, poverty. It is expected that all future relations between the United States under the leadership of Trump and Azerbaijan under the leadership of Aliyev will be formed according to the Azerbaijani leader's actions: either Azerbaijan is one of the partner countries in democratic development or is among the rogue states, for which will find its application the American Strategy. There is no third. The US is unlikely to adjust its strategy under the Strategy for the authoritarian regime in Azerbaijan. The last two years of tense relations between the two countries is only the signal for the implementation of the hard-line of the American Leadership strategy on Azerbaijan.