What will be the end of the events in the Lachin corridor?

Baku/16.12.22/Turan: For the fifth day, protests of Azerbaijanis in the Lachin corridor near Shusha have continued. Dozens of protesters continue to occupy the road, replacing each other every few hours. Clashes and conflicts have not yet been reported. The peacekeepers do not hear the demand of the Karabakh separatists to open the road. Official Baku declares that the road will not be opened until the illegal mining in Karabakh is stopped. Three scenarios are possible:

1. Power structures will install a checkpoint.

2. Illegal exploitation of deposits will be put to an end, and representatives of Baku will be admitted to them.

3. Attempts by the Armenian side to provoke an armed conflict will lead to a military operation to disarm illegal armed groups, as was the case in March of this year at the Farrukh height.

The indifferent attitude of the "peacekeepers" and the absence of a serious reaction from Moscow indicate the reality of one of or simultaneously all the above scenarios.

What will be the end of what is happening in the Lachin corridor? Can the scale of the action and the level of demands put forward increase?

Political commentator Zardusht Alizade answers these and other questions in the "Difficult Question" program.

According to him, one more scenario can be added to the listed 3 scenarios.

“The start of the process of withdrawal of illegal armed formations from Karabakh will be given. Because there was a message that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan had already ordered the withdrawal of heavy weapons from Karabakh. And if this information is confirmed, it will mean that Pashinyan, despite pressure from both inside and outside, is taking serious steps towards fulfilling the conditions of the tripartite Statement of November 10, 2020. I am looking forward to it," the reviewer said. According to Alizade, the likelihood of a forceful scenario is not high.

“I do not think there will be an armed clash. Neither Armenia, nor Azerbaijan, nor Russia are interested in any military clash. The parties are trying to agree on their positions. But, since the positions of the parties are very different, and everyone is trying to get an acceptable result for themselves. That is why such a negative situation has developed,” the expert believes. -0—