WE ARE ALL GEORGIANS TODAY!

    Russia has achieved its long-expected goal and invaded Georgia. During the past ten years Russian generals and politicians threatened and insulted Shevardnadze, calling him a political impotent, and demanded that Georgian political elite should unconditionally recognize Russian interests in the region. But when failed to achieve any results, Russia has cultivated vipers like Igor Giorgadze and supported pro-Russian politicians like Abashidze.
     The rose revolution in 2004 has put an end to all Moscows illusions and hopes. But Putins Russia is not Yeltzins Moscow with chaos in Foreign Ministry, free mass media and dissidents. Attack on the Caucasus was launched in 2000 since Putins coming to power. The Kremlin needed to get rid of free media and liberals to do whatever it wants to do. But the Kremlins Lilliputians still want to do a lot and events in Georgia are not the end.
     On August 10 and 11, 2008 for the first time during many years I have remembered the events of 1992-1993s, when every night we received terrible news about losses and defeats from the front. This forgotten feeling has reminded me that stability of the self-satisfied Azerbaijani society and its confidence in its security is shaky.
     Russian propaganda and misinformation on television channels and web sites, unwillingness of the west to get dirty, Turkeys indifferent position and fear of Georgias neighbors to say a word reminded me of January 1990 when instead of tough criticism against Moscow and assistance to Azerbaijan, international community has not even understood what had happened.
     Saakashvili has overestimated his strength and support of the West, showed excess of zeal in South Ossetia and failed to coordinate its actions with the western partners, but one thing is clear - Georgia has become the victim of the most serious military aggression since the USSR collapse. Aggression has been committed by the country, which calls itself Azerbaijans strategic partner, and it has punished Georgia for daring to have its own opinion on its future and the present.
     All nations and countries around Russia are potential victims of another aggression. Today all they and we all are Georgians! In this context I agree to Senator McCain, who has paraphrased British journalist as saying in September 2001 we are all Americans!
     Satisfied Bakus elite, which is isolated from the countrys problems, should realize what is going on.
     As crisis in Georgia deepens, oil revenues will stop. Then prices for immovable and other things will go down. The authorities myth about the country-leader of the region and the entire world will fade. Till now President Ilham Aliyev has just made statements on AzTV channel threatening Armenians. The current events show that these statements are very primitive and not serious (it is easy to guess what will happen, if Russian tanks cross Samur)
     On these days strategic partner had to return from Beijing and express his position and support to his neighbor, which fell victim of aggression and think about restoration of stopped oil and gas pipelines.
     The main question, which is under discussion, is could Georgia avoid aggression? It could avoid entering Zkhinvali or make it in the way, which will not irritate Moscow? It is difficult to answer these questions, but one thing is clear that Moscow has carefully planned this invasion and the military operation has been well thought-out. This means that Saakashvili has been entrapped and it could not avoid that. Confession of Moscows politicians, military, experts and journalists testifies to that.
     This is the opinion of Modest Kolerov, former chief of Russian presidential administrations international affairs department. Since the very beginning the Kremlin had the plan of actions in case of the conflict. And the speed of the military operation confirms that. Russian administration has the next stages of this plan. These are determination of zones and systems of control over placement of arms, change of power in Georgia and determination of degree of sovereignty of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Russia will also demand creation of a special tribunal on crimes in South Ossetia and, probably, trials of some Georgian military in Russia, Kolerov said in his interview to Russian Vedomosti newspaper.
     This is the opinion of British Guardian newspaper: For the first time since the USSR war in Afghanistan, Moscow has officially bombarded the sovereign state. Russian military operations in Georgia open a new stage of the post-Soviet history. Goal of the war declared by Moscow is to put an end to NATOs expanding to the east and wash off all military humiliations of the 1990s; this task has become one of the main motives of the system created by Vladimir Putin.
     War in South Ossetia and Abkhazia started six months after declaration of Kosovos independence, which Moscow always condemned and warned that it will lead to consequences. The conflict started eight months after re-election of the pro-western Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili, political ascending of whom was always regarded by Moscow as a result of U.S. conspiracy in its traditional sphere of influence. In response Russia has announced economic blockade to Georgia. The war broke out four months after the NATOs summit in Bucharest, where several western countries disagreed on Ukraines and Georgias joining the North-Atlantic alliance. In Bucharest Ukraine and Russia were not admitted to the plan of actions for entrance obligatory for the countries-pretenders at the demand of Germany and France, which were opposed to the U.S. opinion.
     Russia is going to consolidate its interests in the Black Sea strategic zone. Since Romanias and Bulgarias entrance to EU in 2007, European Unions borders pass through the Black Sea. Now tension is possible in Trans-Dniestr. Russia is trying to impose the plan of settlement perpetuating Russian military presence to the separatists and Moldovas authorities. Russias priority is to ensure a long-term Moldovas neutrality and prevent its entrance to NATO. Therefore, the neutralized zone of European space passing through Kaliningrad, Belarus, Moldova to the Caucasus appears here.
    Wake up, stuffed Azerbaijan!