U.S.-Iran: A Two-Week Truce with Far-Reaching Implications

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he had agreed to suspend the bombing of Iran for two weeks, accepting a 14-day truce proposal put forward by mediators in the ongoing conflict.

Trump said the decision followed talks with Pakistan’s leadership, which has acted as a mediator between Washington and Tehran and had been pushing for a temporary ceasefire.

“Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan, who requested that I refrain from destructive actions planned for tonight against Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the full, immediate, and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attacks on Iran for a period of two weeks,” Trump wrote on social media platform Truth Social.

“This will be a two-sided ceasefire,” he added.

A U.S. administration official said American military strikes on Iran had already stopped. Israel will also join the pause in strikes for the same period.

Trump said the United States had received a 10-point proposal from Iran, which he described as a workable basis for negotiations. According to him, most key differences between the sides have already been resolved, and the two-week period will allow for finalizing a comprehensive agreement.

Tehran confirmed its readiness for a ceasefire. Iran described the outcome as a “major victory,” saying Washington had accepted Tehran’s plan for a full end to the war. According to Iranian sources, the proposal includes demands such as lifting sanctions and introducing transit fees for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the Strait of Hormuz would remain open for safe navigation over the next two weeks, coordinated with the country’s armed forces and subject to technical constraints.

Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said negotiations between the two sides are scheduled for April 10 in Islamabad and will take place “amid full distrust toward the American side.”

A Window for Transformation Opens

Analysts say the two-week truce signals a shift from military escalation to a managed negotiation process.

The suspension of strikes effectively freezes the conflict, reducing the risk of its expansion across the region and creating a limited “de-escalation window,” though it does not mark the end of the war.

A key element of the arrangement is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz — a strategic route through which a significant share of global oil supplies passes. Experts say this underscores a priority on stabilizing global energy markets over continued military pressure.

The decision also reflects a shift in Washington’s approach. The administration of President Donald Trump is moving toward what analysts describe as “coercive diplomacy,” seeking to convert military gains into a political settlement. At the same time, Pakistan is strengthening its role as a central mediator in the talks.

For global markets, the truce signals a reduction in geopolitical risk and potential stabilization in oil prices, although uncertainty over the next steps is expected to keep volatility elevated.

Despite the positive momentum, risks remain high. Analysts point to deep mutual distrust, differing interpretations of the agreement, and the potential for breakdown in the event of new incidents or provocations.

According to expert assessments, the most likely outcome is a limited and pragmatic agreement involving mutual concessions. This could include formalizing the ceasefire, ensuring safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, and partially easing sanctions on Iran.

In that case, the conflict will most likely move into a “frozen phase” without reaching a final political settlement. Much will then depend on the ability of Iran’s regime to transform under new geopolitical realities. This would represent the third and final stage of the U.S. strategy aimed at changing Iran’s clerical system, which began with military pressure in June of last year. The final phase will most likely evolve into a peaceful transformation of the country, Turan Analytical Service concludes.