Ten days (with Trump) that shook the world

The first ten days of Donald Trump as a president of the United States is nothing in the four-year period of running the country, but they were full of demonstrative presidential attacks, and appropriate international response, which creates a feeling of Trump"s eternity.

Mainly, all the fuss of the world politicians and the media around Trump focused on his every decision, statement, as his actions in no way commensurate with the traditional smooth entry of his previous colleagues into the power. Trump entered into a global policy swiftly and violently, trying to identify his leadership and approve himself in his country and in the world.

Turan agency forecasted his actions and behavior, and it would be wrong to assume that he is managed by emotions of licentious billionaire. His artistic statements and defiant behavior of the hard leader are only simultaneous reflection of the new American leadership concept, approved in 2015.

In the article "Trump and US National Security Strategy" on 14 November, 2016, answering the question what will be the team of the new American president, Turan agency wrote that he would be guided by the US National Security Strategy, and will be its conductor and personification. The agency noted that the "Strategy adopted in February 2015, with a delay of two years, will be the basis of his actions and decisions, as all the institutions of the United States. This document clearly emphasizes overt US leadership in the world, and its goals and objectives as the powers responsible for the stability and development of the world system and by this differs from the Strategy of 2010 year, which was based on the US leadership in the framework of partnership unions."

http://www.contact.az/docs/2016/Analytics/111300174649ru.htm?2#.WJLPW1OLTIU

Trump declares continuity of the policy, but in a more significant and hard demonstrative form, whether it is related to the media, members of the State Department or foreign countries. In practice it is clear that he is consciously leading to the confrontation with the bureaucratic apparatus for the purpose of forming a new hard-type administration, which as he said, will work more actively with the community based on the feedback principle.

Trump artificially causing a storm of protest and confusion, actively makes decisions relating international interests of the US, which he plans to turn, and thereby assert his private leadership, and the state leadership of the US. He sets new rules for the new world order with no veiled leadership of America.

If to look attentively at his seemingly odious decisions on building a wall between Mexico and temporarily ban on entry into the US citizens of seven rogue countries, we can only see a continuation of the actions of previous administrations. Prior to Trump, more than a thousand kilometers of this wall had been built, and six of the seven Muslim countries whose nationals are temporarily banned from entering the US, had been subjected to bombardment by the US Army and punishment on the part of the Obama"s team.

Thus, we can talk about the implementation of policies based on the continuity and strategy of the future written long before Trump came to power. Elementary change of the image of the Trump-billionaire to the image of the Trump-president, for example his hairstyle, a la Kennedy, shows that Trump understands the role and mission he carries.

Traditional first meeting of the new US President with the head of the British government, the planned visit to the Queen of England, calls the European allies and nuclear enemy in the Kremlin, show the continuity and consistency of the American political tradition of the last few decades, which Trump remains loyal.

Policy of Trump for the next four years, and perhaps 8 years, will be dictated by a new stage of world history, which after a long-term stagnation and crises transforms into a relatively long period of economic growth, unprecedented before.

(It was predicted by the international expert community after the financial crisis of 2008, and then was confirmed by the forecast of ExxonMobil and BP in 2012.) It is characterized by the formation of a balanced global manufacturing market, services, consumption. All policy of Trump will focus on providing leadership in the new situation, which will be expressed, on the one hand, in the maximum providing interests of the American conglomerates in the world, creating a balance of interests between the United States and the interests of other countries, the development of human resources and solvent consumer societies. In particular this applies to developing countries that are the sources of poverty, injustice, violence, obscurantism, fanaticism.

The idea of ​​security and protection of national interests and the interests of the harmonious combination with the other, through the creation and expansion of a network of democratic regimes, based on international law, values ​​and commitments, has become a priority and enters the phase of final realization. This first of all concerned the space of Eurasia, where have been concentrated the main human, material resources, and where traditionally formed the world's history.

The agency has already written about this in several articles, including the article:http://www.contact.az/docs/2016/Analytics/041100152509ru.htm#.WJIE91OLTIU

Russia has gone through the most difficult years of its recent history being able to integrate the post-Soviet economy in the world and maintain control in the conditions of permanent crises, including the last. It is no coincidence that Donald Trump speaks about restart of relations with Russia, as the Kremlin has implemented the recommendations and requirements of the previous administration of Obama on transition to the liberal-capitalist rails.

New reform by Kudrin presented in the beginning of the year at the Haidar Forum will receive its practical development in the coming months, and will become the basis for the resumption of relations between the Kremlin and the White House.

Stabilization of the situation in the Donbass with promotion of Russia and under the protection of Kiev, the completion of the military phase of the crisis in the Middle East, elimination of LIH in cooperation with the US and regional players - the EU, Russia, Turkey, and Iran, the oil monarchies of the Gulf will also contribute to it. The time of conflict control is coming to an end, giving way to the doctrine of values ​​and commitments. The main thing in this issue, along with Russia is inevitability of reforms in post-Soviet authoritarian countries, and on the southern flank of the former Soviet Union.

This applies to Azerbaijan too, the government of which will unwillingly have to make reforms in the authoritarian system in spring of this year. It can be said that the hopes of Aliyev"s administration for the future to find agreement with Trump administration in exchange for oil, the stability, were not approved. Recent reports of international organizations on corruption, human rights and freedoms in Azerbaijan, the puppeteers of which in Baku call Washington, show the continuity of the course in the White House, based on a national, rather than individual strategies of individual representatives of the US establishment.

Institutional reforms postponed by Aliyev, and noted at the October referendum, execution of the strategic road map of reforms, will certainly be implemented synchronically with the events in the neighboring countries. Just recently, Aliyev will travel to Brussels to finalize a strategic partnership with the EU, which he unreasonably prolonged the recent years. Azerbaijan is increasingly becoming part of the regional integration system, a hub, with the Western vector of development, and as they say in Baku. That is why he cannot afford himself to stay aside the trends from overseas.